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IMF Cuts U.S. Growth Forecast, US Dollar Takes the Blow

Jun 28 2017, 01:47 PM (+06) |


Forex News: ECB President Mario Draghi mentioned during yesterday’s speech the he sees Eurozone growth and that all signs point towards a broadening recovery. On the other hand, the IMF has cut U.S. growth expectations and all this triggered Euro strength and US Dollar weakness, resulting in a huge move up.

IMF Cuts U.S. Growth Forecast, US Dollar Takes the Blow 1

Technical Outlook

The pair reached the 1.1300 mark but retraced lower and is trading below 1.1280 at the time of writing. We will most likely see another push higher, into 1.1300 and possibly 1.1340 but it must be noted that the Relative Strength Index has moved into overbought territory and also that usually, fast moves tend to be followed by a pullback. However, we don’t expect this pullback to extend below support as the current outlook is bullish.

Fundamental Outlook

Today at 1:30 pm GMT, ECB President Mario Draghi will participate in a panel discussion at the European Central Bank Forum on Central Banking, alongside other heads of central banks. Yesterday his speech generated a lot of volatility, so caution is recommended today as well.



US Dollar weakness was seen against the Pound as well, and the pair climbed for most of yesterday’s session, testing 1.2770 resistance.

IMF Cuts U.S. Growth Forecast, US Dollar Takes the Blow 2

Technical Outlook

The 50 period Exponential Moving Average provided good support yesterday and the pair moved into the resistance at 1.2770 but this level is not yet clearly broken. When and if price will surpass this resistance, we expect to see a move into 1.2800 – 1.2820 but once it gets there, the chances of a retracement will increase. If the pair moves below 1.2770, we expect to see a move into the 50 EMA but our bias is mostly bullish.

Fundamental Outlook

At 1:30 pm GMT, Bank of England Governor Mark Carney will participate in the same panel discussion as ECB President Mario Draghi. Caution is recommended as the Pound may see some strong movement at the time of the discussions.

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