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Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (April 23 – 27, 2018)

Apr 21 2018, 09:14 PM (+06) |

Here’s the market outlook for the week:



Dominant bias: Neutral

The bias is neutral in the long-term term, and bearish in the short-term. Price went southwards last week, losing up to 130 pips, after testing the resistance line at 1.2400. The support line at 1.2250 was almost tested, but price closed close to the resistance line at 1.2300. Owing to the short-term bearishness in the market, further southwards journey is anticipated, which may push price towards the support lines at 1.2250, 1.2200 and 1.2150.




Dominant bias: Bullish

The Bullish Confirmation Pattern in this market was partly brought about by the anticipated stamina in Greenback. Since testing the support level at 0.9200 on February 16, price has gained 550 pips (gaining 220 pips in this month alone), closing around the resistance level at 0.9750 on Friday. Price should continue going further upwards as EURUSD is pushed further southwards. The resistance levels at 0.9800 and 0.9850 are the targets for this week.



Dominant bias: Bearish

The Cable consolidated in the first week of April, went upwards in the second week, and came downwards heavily in the third week (last week). After testing the distribution territory at 1.4350, price has nosedived by 350 pips, reaching the accumulation territory at 1.4000, and closing slightly below it. The bias on the market has now turned bearish, and that may be upheld this week, as the accumulation territories at 1.3950, 1.3900 and 1.3850 are aimed.



Dominant bias: Bearish

The trading instrument is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. After price rammed into the demand level at 105.00 on March 23, it has gone upwards by 280 pips since then. Price closed above the demand level at 107.50 on Friday and it may even reach the supply levels at 108.00 and 108.50 this week…. Before the anticipated reversal occurs. The reversal may be strong enough to take price towards the demand level at 107.50.




Dominant bias: Bullish    

This is a bull market in the near-term, but the bullishness in the market is very weak. Price did almost nothing last week, save some consolidating movement throughout the week. The consolidation may continue this week, but a breakout is imminent, which would most probably favor bears. Thus, the demand zones at 132.00, 131.50 and 131.00 could be reached, which may effectively challenge the recent bullishness in the market.



Dominant bias: Bearish

There is now a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which was forcefully brought about by the large pullback that occurred in the market. Roughly 280 pips were shed as price closed below the supply zone at 151.00 on April 20, 2018. It is expected that further southward movement would play itself out this week, because the outlook on JPY pairs is somewhat bearish for the week. This means the accumulation territories at 150.50, 150.00 and 149.50 would be reached easily.


This forecast is concluded with the quote below:


“Accept that you can trade, it really isn’t as cognitively difficult as people make out. It is emotionally and psychologically difficult but it doesn’t require much brain power despite what you may be told. Therefore, it is within the realm of most to be able to understand the basics of trading.” – Chris Tate





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