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Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (July 9 - 13, 2018)

Jul 7 2018, 07:27 PM (+06) |

Here’s the market outlook for the week:



Dominant bias: Bearish

The market is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. Last week, after testing the support line at 1.1600, price went upwards by 150 pips, to test the resistance line at 1.1750. Price can still go further upwards towards the resistance lines at 1.1800 and 1.1850. However, a strong buying pressure is needed to reach the resistance line at 1.1850. A southwards movement from here would render this expectation invalid.




Dominant bias: Neutral  

The market is virtually flat. Since the past two weeks, price has moved between the support level at 0.9850 and the resistance level at 1.0000. As long as price moves between the aforementioned support and resistance levels, things will remain neutral. This week, it is not likely that price would break the support level at 0.9850 to the downside; or break the resistance level at 1.0000 to the upside, because much volatility is not expected in the market this week. However, before the end of the month, a rise in momentum is expected, which would create a directional bias.




Dominant bias: Bearish

GBPUSD Is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term, just like EURUSD. Since testing the accumulation territory at 1.3100, price has gone upwards by roughly 200 pips, closing above the accumulation territory at 1.3250 and aiming the distribution territory at 1.3300. Nonetheless, the major outlook remains bearish, which means the market needs to gain, at least, another 300 pips, before the bias can turn bullish.



Dominant bias: Bullish

Since March 26, the market has been going northwards slowly and gradually. Right now, the bullish bias is weak, although bears have not been able to push price lower significantly. There was an attempt to go south last week, after the supply level at 111.00 was tested. Price closed slightly below the supply level at 110.50, and it may go towards the demand level at 110.00, where bearish effort should be contained, just for the bullish bias to be saved.



Dominant bias: Neutral  

This cross is bullish in the short-term, and neutral in the long-term. Some bullish effort started around the end of June, and it has been upheld till now. In the short-term, price could move upwards and downwards, within the supply zone at 131.00 and the demand zone at 128.00. Price may not be able to go beyond these boundaries because much volatility is not expected this month, unless some fundamental figure causes a radical change in the market.



Dominant bias: Bullish

Since June 28, this trading instrument has been going upwards, leading to a bullish bias in the short-term (a Bullish Confirmation Pattern). Last week ended on a bullish note and it is probable that price would continue going upwards, reaching the supply zones at 147.00, 147.50 and 148.00. There would be a reversal along the way, which would, nevertheless, not be serious enough to invalidate the ongoing bullish bias.



 This forecast is concluded with the quote below:



“But in trading, often the best solution is the simplest...” - Michael Carr



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